Is Tesla (TSLA) the Most Promising Long-Term Stock According to Analysts?

Insider Monkey
昨天

We recently published a list of the 11 Most Promising Long-Term Stocks According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stands against other promising long-term stocks.

On March 31, Banrion’s Shana Sissel recently appeared on CNBC’s ‘Power Lunch’ to discuss that buying at lower valuations is favorable for long-term investors. Shana Sissel highlighted that the markets now want transparency, given the persistent volatility that has lasted for a while now. When this clarity is lacking, it becomes difficult for investors and businesses to plan for the long term. This uncertainty has led to soft consumer and CEO confidence, which makes it challenging to develop long-term strategies when key aspects such as industrial policy, business policy, and taxes remain unresolved in the US. Sissel emphasized that until there is more certainty, volatility is likely to persist. She expressed skepticism that any immediate announcements would provide the level of information investors desire, especially because of the administration’s habit of making statements that are later contradicted or revised. However, Sissel pointed out that long-term investors can find attractive buying opportunities if they look beyond the current uncertainty. She noted that the recent drop in valuations for many tech stocks now presents favorable buying opportunities for long-term investors.

Regardless of the short-term fluctuations in policy uncertainty, many tech and security companies still benefit from long-term demand due to trends like the ongoing adoption of AI and the growing need for cybersecurity and infrastructure protection. Even when government decisions are unclear, these sectors are resilient because their products and services address fundamental needs that are unlikely to change with fluctuating market cycles.

Our Methodology

We first sifted through the Finviz stock screener and financial media reports to compile a list of the top stocks with high upside potential of over 40%. We then selected 11 stocks with a 10-year revenue compound annual growth rate of over 20%. The stocks are ranked in ascending order of their upside potential. We have also added the hedge fund sentiment for each stock, as of Q4 2024, which was sourced from Insider Monkey’s database.

Note: All data was sourced on April 21.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)

10-Year Revenue CAGR: 40.76%

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 126

Average Upside Potential as of April 21: 42.93%

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and energy generation & storage systems through its two segments. The Automotive segment offers EVs, automotive regulatory credits, and vehicle insurance services. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages with solar energy generation and energy storage products.

The company achieved record deliveries in Q4 2024, with Model Y becoming the best-selling vehicle of any kind in 2024. Tesla also made investments in manufacturing, AI, and robotics during the year. Its autonomous driving and AI-related initiatives are expected to make up 90% of its valuation shortly. Optimus alone can generate more than $10 trillion in revenue for Tesla.

While Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is somewhat insulated from the current tariff environment as compared to other major automakers in the US, the company still faces some macro challenges. On April 16, Piper Sandler reiterated the stock as Overweight and cut its estimates on the stock’s price from $450 to $400. Tesla’s first-quarter financials are expected to be disappointing, with deliveries falling short of expectations.  This is because Tesla heavily relies on international sources, mainly China, for a significant amount of its parts and batteries.

JDP Capital Management initiated the stock in June 2024 and stated the following regarding Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:

“Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is new core position that I wrote about in 2024 Half Year Letter. The stock was up 115% in 2024. We benefited from the June 2024 timing of our purchase, buying after the stock had declined about 30% in the first part of the year.

We repurchased TSLA at a time when the market had [again] become overly bearish based on slowing vehicle orders despite the company having just achieved a breakthrough in Full Self Driving (FSD v12). If you haven’t had a chance to experience the most recent Full Self Driving software (FSD 13.3) I suggest you try it for yourself. If you’ve had a Tesla for a while, you know that the trajectory of FSD improvement has been nothing less than astounding.

It has become clearer to me that Tesla’s leadership position in the infrastructure layer underpinning mega-trends in robotics, smart vehicles and battery storage will unlock earnings growth that we can ride for years. Similar to AWS or the iPhone, Full-Self-Driving and Optimus will enable new business models to be built across a wide range of industries over time…” (Click here to read the full text)

Overall, TSLA ranks 11th on our list of the 11 most promising long-term stocks according to analysts. While we acknowledge the growth potential of TSLA, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold great promise for delivering high returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TSLA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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