瑞银策略师预计,今年全球股市将继续反弹,并保持MSCI全球指数年底目标在910点,暗示约有9%的上行空间。
由Andrew Garthwait牵头的策略师写道:战术指标适度乐观,人工智能料将提高生产力,而信贷利差、ISM、PMI都支持股票风险溢价,即使债券收益率上升。策略师预计2025年MSCI全球指数每股收益增长5%,欧洲斯托克指数EPS增长3%,新兴市场增长16%;仍超配欧洲市场,到年底斯托克600指数有约6%的上行空间;熊市的先决条件尚未形成,到目前为止,只是美国而非全球经济增长受到威胁。
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