在特朗普发动贸易战之际，华尔街策略师的警告越来越多，表明股市前景黯淡。
周一，贝莱德公司的策略师Jean Boivin和Wei Li将美国股票的三个月前景从增持下调至中性，称他们预计“鉴于全球贸易紧张局势的重大升级，短期内风险资产将面临更大压力。”与此同时，包括Peter Oppenheimer等策略师在内的高盛集团战略团队说，随着衰退风险的增加，股市抛售很可能演变成一个持续时间更长的周期性熊市。周期性熊市通常持续两年左右，需要五年时间才能反弹到起点。就目前而言，他们认为美股抛售是事件驱动的熊市。他们说，在这两种熊市中，股市往往平均下跌30%，但“持续时间不同，事件驱动的低迷时间更短，复苏速度更快”。
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