"美股七巨头"(Magnificent Seven)经历剧烈估值修正后,投资者遭遇了近年来最艰难的单月表现。随着科技板块近期步入回调区间,四月或将迎来布局良机。可以通过 高科技指数ETF-SPDR (XLK)构建期权收益策略,押注科技股反弹。
尽管关税政策被视为美股本轮无差别抛售的导火索,但投资者需清醒认识到,"七巨头"此前已严重超买。这些科技股此前呈现抛物线式上涨:例如 Meta Platforms, Inc.在2月创下连续20日上涨纪录,股价冲至740美元,但3月又回落至575美元下方——如此持续的连涨行情前所未见,市场显然处于异常状态。
尽管波动率飙升(恐慌指数VIX徘徊于20附近),但要对科技板块重拾信心,核心逻辑在于市场对贸易关税的担忧有望化解。但为防范"七巨头"再度下挫的风险,需通过期权策略明确风险边界。
在科技板块试图于四月企稳之际,卖出看跌期权价差组合可让投资者在收取可观权利金的同时控制风险:
具体操作
卖出4月17日到期、行权价205美元(平值)的XLK看跌期权,收取4.8美元权利金
买入4月17日到期、行权价200美元(虚值)的XLK看跌期权,支付3.1美元权利金
该信用价差策略使投资者每份组合净收1.7美元(170美元/每手),潜在最大亏损为3.3美元(330美元/每手)。若XLK到期跌破200美元,投资者需以203.3美元(205-3.25)的实际成本接盘XLK。
风险提示
此策略通过牺牲部分上行收益来换取下行保护,适合看好板块反弹但担忧短期波动的投资者。需密切跟踪关税政策进展与科技龙头动向,若市场恐慌加剧导致VIX突破25,应考虑提前平仓止损。
文章参考CNBC《Tech could see a rebound soon. How to play it while hedging against potential downside》
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