港股光伏板块今日全线下挫,其中福莱特玻璃(06865)表现最为疲软,盘中大跌5.05%,引发市场关注。
此轮跌势主要源于多重因素的叠加影响。中金公司最新研报指出,春节后的抢装潮已接近尾声,虽然排产仍维持高位,但工商业光伏以及市场化交易新老划断节点临近,部分环节出现一定抢出货现象。同时,随着丰水期逐渐临近,市场对光伏产业链价格下行预期渐浓,多晶硅期货近期呈现明显下行趋势。
此外,在地面电站IRR(内部收益率)测算尚不明朗的情况下,光伏需求可能出现阶段性放缓。太平洋证券也指出,随着备货收尾,光伏产业链报价加速松动,多晶硅价格逼近主流现金成本。这些因素共同导致投资者对光伏行业短期前景持谨慎态度,进而引发包括福莱特玻璃在内的光伏股集体下跌。分析师表示,待各省政策明确、丰水期后企业策略明晰、年终相对淡季过去之后,行业及市场预期有望再度好转。
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