2024年10月28日,钢铁股大涨,其中鞍钢股份(00347)涨幅高达15.79%,引发市场广泛关注。主要原因是中国钢铁工业协会(中钢协)表示,将加快研究推进产能治理和联合重组,以改善行业供需格局。
中钢协表示,一方面在暂停新增产能置换项目的基础上,将加快建立已有产能退出机制,引导落后产能退出;另一方面坚决推进联合重组,防止重组过程中将大量无效产能或"僵尸产能"复活。这意味着未来将进一步淘汰落后产能、集中优质产能,从而遏制行业产能过剩、缓解恶性竞争,有利于钢铁行业盈利持续回暖。
作为国内钢铁龙头企业之一,鞍钢股份受益于此轮产能重组政策红利。加上该股最新财报显示,虽收入和利润有所下滑,但管理层通过精简业务、削减成本等改革措施,力争扭亏为盈,基本面有望企稳。多家券商机构给予中性或乐观评级,预计未来随政策加持和内部改革,该股估值仍有较大修复空间。
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