2024年9月16日,在关注美联储即将启动的降息周期以及中国经济数据趋疲软的背景下,投资者做出了一系列谨慎防御性操作,导致三倍做多半导体ETF - Direxion Daily(SOXL)当日盘中大跌7.72%。
市场普遍预计,美联储本周将启动长期预期的降息周期,并可能一次性大幅降息50个基点,以支撑经济软着陆。但对于半导体和科技行业来说,这一预期或将引发市场对未来需求的担忧。因为降息通常被视为缓解通胀压力和防止经济过度衰退的手段,但也可能意味着经济增长动力进一步放缓,从而对依赖经济景气度的行业如半导体产生不利影响。
另一方面,中国作为全球半导体最大消费市场之一,近期发布的经济数据持续疲弱,加剧了投资者对该行业未来需求的担忧。数据显示,中国8月工业产出增速下滑至5个月来最低。高盛和花旗均下调了该国2024年GDP增长预期至4.7%,凸显了外部需求对半导体行业的重要拖累。
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