4月8日夜盘,三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(简称YINN)表现强劲,大涨5.01%。这一涨幅引发市场广泛关注,反映出投资者对中国股市前景的乐观情绪正在升温。
据国泰海通最新发布的研报显示,无风险利率的下行或将成为2025年中国股市上升的关键动力。研报指出,经历三年的出清调整后,投资者预期变动的主要矛盾已从经济周期的波动转变为贴现率的变动。贴现率中无风险利率的降低,有望带动增量资本入市,推动中国A/H股整体估值中枢上修。
国泰海通认为,无风险利率下降对A/H股估值提升将是广谱性的,不仅蓝筹股估值中枢将得以提升,成长股估值空间也将得以打开。这一观点为YINN等追踪中国股市的ETF产品提供了强有力的支撑。值得注意的是,YINN作为三倍杠杆ETF,其涨跌幅会放大基础指数的变动,因此在市场看好中国股市前景的背景下,表现更为突出。
分析人士指出,随着中国持续推进经济转型和创新驱动发展战略,加之政策面的支持力度不断加大,中国股市的投资价值正在被重新审视。投资者应密切关注中国经济基本面的持续改善,以及资本市场改革的进一步深化,把握可能出现的投资机会。
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