摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley,股票代码:MS)今日盘前股价大跌5.97%,引发市场广泛关注。
根据最新消息,摩根士丹利发布警告称,虽然全球衰退并非其基准预期,但已成为日益现实的悲观情景。这一警告可能是导致该公司股价下跌的主要原因。摩根士丹利分析师强调,资产价格的大幅恶化仍然是美国消费支出前景面临的重要风险。
摩根士丹利进一步指出,如果已宣布的关税长期存在,经济增长面临的下行风险将显著增加,而通胀面临的上行风险也将加剧。该行预计,关税导致的通胀可能使美联储在2025年保持观望,不会有降息。此外,摩根士丹利认为,虽然风险市场的强烈负面反应反映了对经济增长的日益担忧,但市场尚未完全定价即将到来的衰退。这些悲观的经济前景可能导致投资者对金融股,特别是摩根士丹利的股票,采取谨慎态度。
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