阿斯麦(ASML)在本周一夜盘大跌5.09%,引发了市场广泛关注。主要受到以下因素影响:
一方面,阿斯麦将于1月29日发布第四季度财报,市场对公司业绩预期较为悲观。尽管阿斯麦第四季度订单量预计足以实现2025年指引,但市场普遍担心英特尔和三星等大客户的订单可能出现进一步下滑,加之2026年出货订单较少,导致对2026年营收能见度较低。
另一方面,地缘政治冲突不确定性给该公司增添了不利因素。荷兰首相近期表示,在对华半导体出口管制问题上,荷兰会与美国保持一致,显示了荷兰方面会继续受美国施压,限制包括EUV光刻机在内的先进设备对华出口。
总体而言,尽管阿斯麦现金流状况良好,但较高的市值和预期市盈率或加剧部分投资者离场或整理部位的意愿,财报预期疲软以及地缘政治困扰因素叠加导致股价在夜盘大幅下跌。但中长期来看,人工智能和先进芯片对EUV光刻机的需求将支撑该公司发展。
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