本周一(11月25日),港股油气股走强,中海油田服务涨超4%,中国海洋石油涨超3%
消息面上,上周,高盛在一份报告中表示,尽管2024年出现供应短缺和地缘政治不确定性,但预计今年布伦特原油均价将在每桶80美元左右,且预计2025年将出现40万桶/日的供应过剩。
高盛基本预测,布伦特原油价格将保持在70-85美元区间,高闲置产能将限制价格上涨,OPEC和页岩油供应的价格弹性将限制价格下跌。
高盛仍然认为,在2025年,布伦特原油均价将为76美元/桶;到2026年,由于90万桶/日的供应过剩,布伦特原油均价将为71美元/桶。
该行预计,在GDP增长的同时总能源需求的不断上升、以及航空旅行和石化产品脱碳面临的持续挑战将推动石油需求在未来十年继续增长。
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