格隆汇9月19日丨瑞信发研报指,内地重新开放对友邦(1299.HK)而言是关键催化剂,如边境开放对于友邦中国及内地访港旅客投保业务(MCV)有利。然而,部分投资者较偏好其他更为便宜且较强反弹潜力的板块,或其他估值不高的内险公司。而友邦的现价对内涵价值为1.55倍,较3年平均水平低约2个标准差。此外,瑞信指随着疫情防控措施的缓解,投资者预期友邦的本港及东盟地区销售于下半年重拾增长势头。事实上友邦亦证明了从疫情中反弹的能力。
长远而言,瑞信认为保险(尤其是寿险)公司,将受惠于加息周期,估计友邦为股东带来的年化总回报为5.5%。该行维持对友邦按固定汇率(CER)计的新业务价值增长预测,但对其2022至2024财年每股盈利预测,分别下调5%、2%及2%。目标价由97港元降至95港元,维持“跑赢大市”评级。
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