【QCP:FOMC会议后BTC、ETH隐含波动率骤降,预计选举日临近时将再度激增】金色财经报道,QCP Capital

金色财经
19 Sep 2024

【QCP:FOMC会议后BTC、ETH隐含波动率骤降,预计选举日临近时将再度激增】金色财经报道,QCP Capital 在其最新市场分析中表示,美联储昨晚宣布降息 50 个基点,并计划今年再降息两次,2025 年再降息 4 次。在鲍威尔对随后降息的规模和速度含糊其辞之际,所有人都将关注即将公布的就业数据,以寻找迹象。 作为经济衰退指标的美国 2 年期/10 年期国债息差自 2022 年 7 月以来一直出现倒挂,但最近已增至+8 个基点,反映出市场乐观情绪和向风险偏好资产的转变。标普 500 指数(S&P 500)试图创新高,但在 FOMC 会议结束后收于下跌。 期权方面,FOMC 会议后隐含波动率暴跌,BTC 下跌 19 vols,ETH 下跌 18 vols。FOMC 之后,BTC 从 5.9 万美元反弹至 6.2 万美元,而 ETH 约为 2400 美元。 其认为,预计随着选举日的临近,就在下一次 FOMC 会议之后,波动性将激增。

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