智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股延续近期反弹,截至发稿,南戈壁(01878)涨12.32%,报2.37港元;蒙古焦煤(00975)涨7.38%,报8港元;兖煤澳洲(03668)涨2.58%,报29.8港元;中煤能源(01898)涨1.66%,报8.57港元。
长城证券指出,本周动力煤价格继续上涨,主要由于港口发运持续倒挂致使港口结构性缺煤情况明显,叠加南部地区高温天气支撑电煤需求,终端库存已低于去年同期水平。另一方面,非电需求抬升为煤炭需求带来边际改善叠加三季度水电出力减弱,我们预计煤价有望偏强运行。
国泰君安认为,回顾2024年,煤炭行业经历了中期压力最大的淡季及旺季,在偏极端的供需背景下整体煤价依然韧性十足;当前日耗维持历史最高水平,基本面超预期下板块向上拐点或不远。该行指出,预计板块业绩继续呈现同比改善趋势,而板块股息率在中报业绩调整后依然有平均6%以上,板块再现红利吸引力。
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