If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Mobvista (HKG:1860), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Mobvista, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.083 = US$21m ÷ (US$745m - US$492m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Mobvista has an ROCE of 8.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Media industry average of 8.9%.
See our latest analysis for Mobvista
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Mobvista compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Mobvista .
Things have been pretty stable at Mobvista, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Mobvista to be a multi-bagger going forward.
Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 66% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than8.3% because total capital employed would be higher.The 8.3% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 66% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So with current liabilities at such high levels, this effectively means the likes of suppliers or short-term creditors are funding a meaningful part of the business, which in some instances can bring some risks.
We can conclude that in regards to Mobvista's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 66% in the last five years. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Mobvista has the makings of a multi-bagger.
Mobvista does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Mobvista that you might be interested in.
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