金吾财讯 | 海通国际发研指,2024年8月我国逆变器出口金额8.61亿美元(同比+24.9%,环比+9.5%),同环比增长明显。出口逆变器数量528.76万台。2024年8月我国组件出口金额22.3亿美元(同比-27%,环比-6%)。该行表示,上周美联储宣布自2020年3月以来首次进行降息,将联邦基金利率目标区间下调50个基点,该行认为,此轮降息将加速光储系统平价,有望刺激海外光储需求的释放。国内方面,江苏省电力交易中心启动分布式新能源聚合参与绿电市场交易试点,明确分布式光伏、风电等新能源可通过直接或聚合方式参与市场,鼓励分布式新能源与聚合商使用电子营业执照办理入市相关业务。该行认为,此举为其他地区提供了光伏发电入市的范式,将加速光伏清洁能源替代进程。此外,光伏产业链方面,多晶硅致密料价格有所上涨,硅片、电池、组件等环节价格保持平稳,8月逆变器出口金额同环比增长明显。该行认为目前市场整体处于周期底部,政策支持导向明确,长期趋势看好。
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