港股异动 | 铜业股集体上扬 降息周期对于铜品种或偏有利 铜价短期震荡偏强

智通财经
25 Sep 2024

智通财经APP获悉,铜业股集体上扬,截至发稿,中国有色矿业(01258)涨6.34%,报6.04港元;五矿资源(01208)涨5.24%,报2.61港元;江西铜业股份(00358)涨3.44%,报14.42港元;中国黄金国际(02099)涨3.01%,报35.95港元。

消息面上,隔夜伦铜探底回升小幅上涨,收于9542美元。沪铜夜盘高位震荡收小阳,收于75640。弘业期货表示,沪铜成交下降持仓基本稳定,市场情绪偏向谨慎。美联储开始降息,中国央行逐步跟进,宏观基本面略有好转。近期伦铜库存小幅回落,沪铜库存明显下降,全球铜库存高位回落。沪铜短线延续反弹,但大涨的可能性较小,中期基本面偏向中性,关注需求和库存变化情况。

中信证券认为,宏观、供需以及交易因素变化主导2024年以来铜价波动。相比于3月的上一轮铜价景气周期起点,目前各方面因素对于铜价的潜在影响都更为积极和清晰。美联储开启降息周期,历史数据验证美国经济韧性犹存背景下的预防性降息将助推铜价上涨。华泰期货指出,目前美联储完成降息50个基点的举措,基本符合市场预期,而降息周期对于铜品种而言,或许偏有利,叠加目前国内库存也呈现去化状态。

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