For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.
If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Kinetik Holdings (NYSE:KNTK). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.
Check out our latest analysis for Kinetik Holdings
Even when EPS earnings per share (EPS) growth is unexceptional, company value can be created if this rate is sustained each year. So EPS growth can certainly encourage an investor to take note of a stock. It's an outstanding feat for Kinetik Holdings to have grown EPS from US$1.56 to US$4.92 in just one year. When you see earnings grow that quickly, it often means good things ahead for the company. This could point to the business hitting a point of inflection.
It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. While we note Kinetik Holdings achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 15% to US$1.4b. That's progress.
The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.
Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Kinetik Holdings' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.
Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.
The US$1.5m worth of shares that insiders sold during the last 12 months pales in comparison to the US$2.5m they spent on acquiring shares in the company. This adds to the interest in Kinetik Holdings because it suggests that those who understand the company best, are optimistic. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Independent Director Kevin McCarthy for US$1m worth of shares, at about US$31.50 per share.
On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Kinetik Holdings insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$242m. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future.
While insiders are apparently happy to hold and accumulate shares, that is just part of the big picture. That's because Kinetik Holdings' CEO, Jamie Welch, is paid at a relatively modest level when compared to other CEOs for companies of this size. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to Kinetik Holdings, with market caps between US$4.0b and US$12b, is around US$8.1m.
The Kinetik Holdings CEO received total compensation of just US$2.3m in the year to December 2023. That looks like a modest pay packet, and may hint at a certain respect for the interests of shareholders. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.
Kinetik Holdings' earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. Just as heartening; insiders both own and are buying more stock. These factors seem to indicate the company's potential and that it has reached an inflection point. We'd suggest Kinetik Holdings belongs near the top of your watchlist. We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Kinetik Holdings (1 is significant!) that you need to be mindful of.
Keen growth investors love to see insider activity. Thankfully, Kinetik Holdings isn't the only one. You can see a a curated list of companies which have exhibited consistent growth accompanied by high insider ownership.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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