金吾财讯 | 港口运输股全线走低,中远海控(01919)跌8.37%,东方海外国际(00316)跌6.83%,海丰国际(01308)跌5.68%,太平洋航运(02343)跌3.59%,天津港发展(03382)跌2.9%,中远海发(02866)跌1.9%。消息面上,由于劳资双方未能达成一致,美国国际码头工人联合会所属几万名成员1日起开始罢工,涵盖美国东海岸和墨西哥湾30多个港口。这是美国东海岸和墨西哥湾港口码头工人自1977年以来首次大规模罢工。业内人士认为,罢工将导致全美半数以上集装箱运输停滞,给相关企业和工人带来直接经济损失。这一僵局若持续数周乃至数月,美国经济将面临经济活动减少、供应不足、物价上涨和失业率上升等多方面冲击。摩根大通发表研究报告指,行业预测显示未来数月需求将有所放缓,但预期第四季运价不会有大幅调整,展望2025年,行业供需失衡情况或改善。摩通指出,以新船交付量为基础的总供应量增长已于2023至2024年达到顶峰,预期会于明年及2026年间放缓,加上船只排放标准收紧,应可有效控制的供应量增长。
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