金吾财讯 | 光伏太阳能股集体走强，截至发稿，顺风清洁能源(01165)涨22.73%，阳光能源(00757)涨18.75%，信义玻璃(00868)涨8.42%，协鑫新能源(00451)涨5.95%，信义光能(00968)涨5.21%。消息面上，华泰证券研报称，光伏是中国在全球供应链上最具影响力的行业之一，2023年产能占全球份额超80%，2023年光伏上市公司实现归母净利润超1200亿元。光伏指数自2021年底见顶后，尽管2022年中由于资本市场回暖短暂回升，但至今已下跌约65%，产能无序扩张是主要原因。在光伏各环节面临供需失衡、价格持续下滑的情况下，部分企业开始出现经营困难。华泰证券认为不同环节产能出清速度有差别，硅料、电池、玻璃环节或率先实现。预计部分领先企业当前现金储备仅能维持2—4个季度生产经营，2025年上半年有望出现产能退出，是产能出清的有效信号。在技术、渠道品牌领先的企业有望穿越周期。
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