港股异动 | 海运股早盘反弹 中东局势升级 机构称红海绕航结束前运价维持高位震荡

智通财经
07 Oct 2024

智通财经APP获悉,海运股早盘反弹,截至发稿,东方海外国际(00316)涨5.14%,报110.5港元;海丰国际(01308)涨4.06%,报20.5港元;中远海控(01919)涨2.96%,报12.54港元;太平洋航运(02343)涨2.76%,报2.61港元。

消息面上,当地时间3日,阿拉伯国家联盟在埃及开罗召开常驻代表级别紧急会议,讨论黎巴嫩局势等问题。阿盟副秘书长扎基在会上表示,当前由于以色列不停地升级冲突,中东爆发地区战争的风险越来越高。国际货币基金组织则表示,中东地区冲突导致国际油价和粮食价格等大宗商品价格走高,胡塞武装袭击红海船只也导致航运价格上涨,这些因素将对全球经济带来冲击。

方正证券指出,短期看,红海绕航事件与其一系列连锁反应导致运距拉长、有效运力折损,预计绕行持续下运价或随季节性波动维持高位震荡。同时关注供应链进一步扰乱因素与需求端潜在关税抢运等运价催化。该行指出,高运价每多延续一个季度,现价对应PB中枢或继续降至更低水平,市值理论下行风险将更为有限。

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