金吾财讯 | 半导体概念随市下行,宏光半导体(06908)、康特隆(01912)、脑洞科技(02203)跌超30%,上海复旦(01385)跌26.02%,华虹半导体(01347)跌19.51%,晶门半导体(02878)跌17.72%,昨日大涨21.76%的中芯国际(00981)回吐12.16%。华泰证券发表报告指,在消费电子需求保持复苏的态势下,国内晶圆代工龙头产能利用率有望保持覆苏趋势,业绩有望持续向好。在基本面见底后稳健回升的支撑下,看好后续港股半导体制造板块估值修覆持续性。报告指,今年以来,代工行业呈现两大分化,分别是先进对成熟。
该行表示,上半年高端智能手机及AI需求强劲,3/5nm满载,台积电营收高速增长且股价领跑板块;但成熟制程较为低迷,联电、世界先进等1至8月累计营收仅按年个位数增长。而内地在地化生产需求以及手机、家电等产业链补库存驱动下,内地厂商如中芯、华虹上半年产能利用率约90%明显优于海外的约70%如联电。自9月中旬以来,中芯、华虹估值和股价快速修复,在终端需求持续修复背景下,本轮半导体制造板块估值修复有望持续。
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