体育用品普遍上涨 裕元集团(00551)涨近8% 机构预计不同国内品牌的按年增速趋势好于第三季

金吾财讯
10 Oct 2024

金吾财讯 | 体育用品普遍上涨,裕元集团(00551)涨近8%,滔搏(06110)涨5.3%,李宁(02331)涨4.82%,特步国际(01368)涨4.6%,安踏体育(02020)涨3.74%,361度(01361)涨3.72%。瑞银投资银行大中华消费品行业研究主管彭燕燕表示,自9月28日起,上海市政府开始发放高达5亿元人民币的消费券,直到今年11月,其中餐饮占72%,其余为住宿、电影和体育消费券。根据瑞银投资银行的管道调查,由于天气转凉、折扣加大,国庆假期期间运动服装品牌销售火爆。彭燕燕预计不同国内品牌的按年增速介乎于个位数至高百分之十几,趋势比第三季好。中国银河证券表示,国内纺织服装出口仍继续保持增长态势。2024年8月纺织品出口额 871.2 亿元,同比增长 4.70%,环比7月增速提升1.2pct,服装出口增速为-2.30%,环比收窄2.65pct。海外大牌补库存进程仍在持续,越南8月出口增速达到16.99%,增速相较7月有大幅提升。国内纺织龙头企业通过资金优势、国际产能布局优势和规模优势不断提升自身市场份额,长期有望实现稳健增长。该行看好202404终消费在高密集政策落地加持下,消费信心逐步回暖。中长期看,2023年消费低基数也为板块优质龙头公司未来增长弹性提供坚实基础。关注前期回调较深,具有估值修复空间且具备稳定分红率的优质标的。

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