智通财经APP获悉,粤海投资(00270)跌超7%,截至发稿,跌7.68%,报4.93港元,成交额1.06亿港元。
摩根士丹利发布研报指出,维持粤海投资“增持”评级,基于其稳定的水业务与防守性,物业投资及开发业务风险下降,以及吸引的估值,预计今年至2026年的股息率为7.5%至8.7%。下调今明两年纯利预测18.6%及13.1%,反映物业投资及开发业务潜在库存减值亏损及毛利率较低。基于盈利预测,下调目标价19.4%至6.59港元。
该行续指,公司3月宣布新派息政策,新安排不及以往派息政策进取,指引短期派息比率为65%,对比去年的65%及2022年的84%。派息比率下降主要因为预备资金更新东深供水项目。该行预测公司今年至2026年每股派息为62至67港仙,对比去年的61港仙,符合公司纯利增长。
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