港股异动 | 有色股跌幅扩大 美元走强有色金属承压 机构称金属基本面情况或出现一定分化

智通财经
15 Oct 2024

智通财经APP获悉,有色股跌幅扩大,截至发稿,赣锋锂业(01772)跌6.19%,报19.84港元;洛阳钼业(03993)跌5.9%,报7.02港元;江西铜业股份(00358)跌5.57%,报14.58港元;紫金矿业(02899)跌4.75%,报16.46港元。

消息面上,由于美国9月CPI全线超预期,债券市场预计美联储年内降息幅度仅为45个基点,期权市场则押注年内仅剩一次降息,甚至可能年内降息25基点后到明年初暂停降息。美元延续近几周的涨势,14日盘中更是触及10周高点,进而给包括贵金属在内的以美元计价的商品带来压力。

华泰证券指出,政策延续发力,但在当前价格位置下,铜、铝等品种基本面情况或出现一定分化,建议投资者关注高铜价抑制需求的风险。贵金属方面,市场押注美联储11月降息步伐有所放缓,预计金价短期高位震荡。锂方面,根据SMM周度库存样本数据,国内社库延续去库,但伴随下游旺季补库节奏放缓,供给端部分检修减产临近尾声,预计碳酸锂价格存在走弱预期,长期看,供给仍处于过剩,锂价长期看依旧偏弱。

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