【“猪油”同落VS“菜哥”连涨 CPI涨幅或至近一年半高点】金十数据10月13日讯，10月13日上午，国家统计局将公布2024年9月居民消费价格指数(CPI)。多家机构预测的均值显示，9月CPI同比上涨0.7%，涨幅继续扩大。若按照机构预测均值计算，CPI同比连续八个月上涨，与2月并列今年以来最高值，也是2023年3月以来的最高值。从机构预测来看，蔬菜价格持续上涨，CPI食品项或仍维持强势。招商宏观张静静团队表示，8月下旬以来猪肉价格已从高位连续回落，叠加去年基数上升，猪肉对CPI的贡献将进一步回落。而蔬菜价格进一步上升，再度成为推动CPI上行的主要因素。同时由于近期国际油价持续回落的传导，能源消费价格也有所下降。整体来看，9月CPI同比增速或持平于8月。
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