金吾财讯 | 物管股随内房股走强,截至发稿,朗诗绿色生活(01965)涨7.27%,恒大物业(06666)涨7.23%,碧桂园服务(06098)涨6.04%,雅生活服务(03319)涨5.99%,世茂服务(00873)涨5.88%。消息面上,光大证券研报指出,美联储降息周期开启,国内地产政策持续优化,物业管理风险因子逐步出清,板块配置价值凸显。建议关注三条主线:1)“估值修复”:重点关注房地产行业流动性回暖、民营房企信用风险逐步出清带来的风险溢价下降。2)“均衡发展”:长期看好独立发展能力较强,项目质量较高,运营能力及盈利能力较强的物管公司,关注新大正等。3)“稳健国企”:国企物管公司的稳健发展和低风险带来估值溢价。关注保利物业、招商积余等。摩通此前认为,若数据或政策的支持逊预期,内房股或剧烈调整,但建议可于落后的物管股中寻找机遇。星展则表示,随著市场情绪恢复理性,物管股将处于弱势局面,但因行业的基本面稳定,且股息率吸引,2024年平均股息率超过4%,某些陷入财困的公司股息率更高达7%,为政策转向提供更安全的替代方案。
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