花旗:料《施政报告》为地产商带来正面情绪 新鸿基地产(00016)、恒基地产(00012)短期可能跑赢

智通财经
17 Oct 2024

智通财经APP获悉,花旗发布研究报告称,预期施政报告为发展商(尤其是拥有豪宅物业的开发商)带来正面情势,加上利率下调后,10月成交量及新盘推出量均有所反弹。该行维持以股息及收益率作选股标准的策略,预期新鸿基地产(00016)及恒基地产(00012)短期可能跑赢。

报告中称,新一份《施政报告》提出调整“新资本投资者入境计划”,允许投资5,000万元或以上的住宅物业,投资于房地产获计算入投资总额上限为1,000万元;所有住宅物业的按揭成数上限一律上调至七成,供款与入息比率上限也统一调整为五成;预计未来十年私营房屋需求为13.2万伙,并计划未来五年提供土地以兴建8万伙单位(并无变动);2025至2030财年公屋供应增至18.9万伙,较2024至2029财年的17.2万伙增长10%;未来十年目标把公屋和资助出售单位比例由现时七比三,逐步调整至六比四;房委会正进行11个重建计划。

该行认为,上述支援楼市政策符合市场预期,放宽住宅物业按揭成数上限有利投资需求,但或需时才能显现。该行维持对今年香港楼价预测跌10%不变,相对于首九个月跌7.5%,并预期明年中楼价或触底。

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