智通财经APP获悉，高盛发表报告表示，标普500指数在未来十年将实现3%的年化回报率，而实际涨幅为1%。
高盛首席美国股票策略师David Kostin在一份报告中表示，该指数在过去十年中的年化总回报率为13%。
该报告称，高盛3%的回报率预测低于6%的普遍预期。
根据Kostin的团队的说法，到2034年，3%的年化名义总回报率将排在1930年以来十年期回报率的第七个百分位。该行策略师补充道，他们的预测结果在+7%至-1%的区间内。
他们表示：“这个范围大致符合我们估计的95%置信区间，反映了预测未来固有的不确定性。”
该报告称，过去十年股市13%的年化回报率超过了11%的长期平均水平。
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