招银国际发表研究报告指,MSCI中国医疗指数年初至今累计下跌14.1%,跑输MSCI中国指数31.25%。本轮波动再次体现医药产业的高弹性特质。受惠于海外减息及国内宏观环境改善,医药作为高弹性产业可望跑赢大市。
招银国际认为,宏观经济的表现与健保基金的收支、医疗健康消费息息相关。随着政策焦点转向刺激经济,医疗设备更新政策有望加快落地、创新药支持政策亦有望在各地落实。CXO板块预计将受惠于海外研发需求复苏,《生物安全法案》的影响或将有限。国内新一轮医保谈判即将落地,尽管医保资金收支有一定压力,但医保资金支持创新药的政策趋势不会改变。
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