中金发布研究报告称,基本维持港交所(00388)盈利预测、维持“跑赢行业”评级及目标价440港元,对应2024年预测43倍市盈率及40%上行空间。公司2024年第三季业绩符合该行预期,总收入同比增6%,盈利同比增7%。第三季港股日均成交额(ADT)同比增21%。
10月以来,港股市场虽进入震荡,但活跃度仍维持历史高点。该行认为,后续伴随潜在经济及资本市场改革政策的持续落地、海外货币政策的预期变化、以及美国大选的结果落地,港股市场活跃度仍具备持续催化,进而为港交所盈利及估值表现提供支撑。港交所目前相较过往港股修复时期的估值高点仍存较大空间,若市场指数上行,该行认为港交所仍存在较大的上行弹性。
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