Trinity Industries, Inc. (NYSE:TRN), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 16% on the NYSE over the last few months. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading around its 52-week high. As a US$2.9b market cap stock, it seems odd Trinity Industries is not more well-covered by analysts. Although, there is more of an opportunity for mispricing in stocks with low coverage, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Trinity Industries’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Trinity Industries

Is Trinity Industries Still Cheap?

Good news, investors! Trinity Industries is still a bargain right now according to our price multiple model, which compares the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 16.54x is currently well-below the industry average of 21.27x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. What’s more interesting is that, Trinity Industries’s share price is quite volatile, which gives us more chances to buy since the share price could sink lower (or rise higher) in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Trinity Industries look like?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -6.5% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Trinity Industries. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although TRN is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to TRN, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TRN for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Trinity Industries (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in Trinity Industries, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.