智通财经APP获悉，中国铝业(02600)现跌超4%，截至发稿，跌4.2%，报5.92港元，成交额7743.17万港元。
消息面上，卓创资讯监测数据显示，年内电解铝行业盈利高点位于4月中旬，行业平均盈利超过3000元/吨。随着近期氧化铝价格持续攀升，电解铝生产成本增加，利润空间收窄，截至10月18日，我国电解铝企业算数平均生产成本达到19133元/吨，行业平均盈利缩减至1400元/吨上下。综合来看，氧化铝供需矛盾凸显导致其价格偏强运行，生产成本的上涨使得电解铝行业利润下滑。后市来看，传统消费淡季将至，氧化铝价格仍有上涨空间，而电解铝预计供应平稳，需求逐渐下滑，价格或高位趋弱运行。
华泰期货指出，国内电解铝供应端增速放缓，而随着氧化铝期现价格快速拉涨，电解铝行业成本上涨明显，对铝价有所支撑，需求端下游开工整体持稳，仍需关注建筑及电力方面需求变化；短期内氧化铝现货供应预计将继续保持偏紧状态，而下游电解铝的开工情况较前期继续小幅提升，海内外现货紧张格局支撑氧化铝现货价格。
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