大类资产配置周度点评:再通胀交易升温:市场押注特朗普或胜选

国泰君安证券股...
28 Oct 2024

本报告导读:我们调整此前的战术性大类资产配置观点。我们对于美债仍维持标配观点,对于印股边际上更为谨慎,并下修印股至标配观点。投资要点:我们对于美债 仍维持标配观点。美联储开启降息周期后,美债利率中枢仍有较高概率下行,但在美国经济边际收缩但韧性尚存的背景下,美债利率下行的幅度与节奏或都将有所受限。近期较强的就业以及零售消费数据使市场进一步强化了美国经济“空中加油”而“不着陆”(no landing)...

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