金吾财讯 | 华创证券发研指,联易融科技(09959)于2024Q1-3总促成融资额2708.39亿元,同比增长17.4%。第三季度,主营业务收入及收益同比增长,毛利率明显改善。截至24Q3,公司合作核心企业1917家(较年初+28.8%),合作金融机构353家(较年初+11.0%);核心企业客户821家(较年初+35.9%),金融机构客户138家(较年初+5.3%)。客户留存率(指去年同期的客户仍为本期客户的数量占比)为96%(较上年末+10pct)。该行表示,公司作为头部第三方供应链金融科技解决方案提供商,以金融科技助力中小企业降低融资成本,具有轻资产的运营模式,ROE弹性强。公司过往地产业务相关风险导致减值上升,拖累净利润。9月政治局会议定调“要促进房地产市场止跌回稳”,若地产行业企稳回升,预计公司或有受益。同时,公司通过主动多元化行业布局,增加业绩韧性,攻守兼备。Q3毛利率明显改善,预计未来降本增效下盈利空间逐步释放,看好公司长期价值。该行预计公司2024/2025/2026年经调整EPS为-0.12/-0.01/0.06元,SPS为0.40/0.47/0.58元,对应港股PS分别为4/3/2倍。根据可比公司PS估值法,给予公司2025年4倍PS目标估值,对应目标价为2.07港元,维持“推荐”评级。
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