高盛下调明年底金价预测至每盎司3,000美元

阿斯达克财经
30 Oct 2024

高盛下调对明年底金价预测,由每盎司3,080美元下调至每盎司3,000美元,明年平均金价预测由每盎司2,973美元下调至每盎司2,906美元,但维持乐观立场,指金融及货币机构、投资者与炒家对实金强劲需求推动金价。
该行指,央行需求受害怕美国金融制裁及美国主权债冲击,可推升金价9%。美联储明年中减息至3.25至3.5厘,会推动西方黄金ETF需求,进一步为金价带来7%上行空间。高盛又指,央行在伦敦场外交易市场对黄金的需求自俄乌冲突后升4倍。该行亦预期炒家视黄金为资金避难所,尤其美国大选。即使大选过后,黄金长仓在潜在贸易紧张及金融风险下仍有显著对冲价值。(fc/u)

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