美银证券发表研究报告指,华能(00902.HK) 业绩会议上表示减值可能每季都会发生,2025年的电价或面临一些下行压力,但目前置评仍言之过早。该行考虑到第三季表现不如预期及更多减值,而下调对其盈测,特别是今年,惟被单位燃料成本降低有所抵消。维持予H股评级“中性”,因为产能电价仍然是强劲的盈利缓冲,占整体第三季税前利润的45%。该行认为,相当于预测市账率1倍的估值大致合理,股本回报率(ROE)为10%,收益率接近6%。
该行下调华能2024年盈利预测15%,主要因为40亿元人民币的减值、第三季表现逊预期,以及单位燃料成本走势,并微降其对公司2025年至2026年的盈利预测各约3%,明年ROE预测被调低至9.9%,H股目标价由4.9元微降至4.8元。(vc/da)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2024-10-30 16:25。)
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