Gold suffers sharp pullback as profit-takers move in after record rally

seekingalpha
01 Nov 2024

monsitj/iStock via Getty Images

Gold futures lost ~$50/oz Thursday in a sharp pullback from record highs in the previous session, but still rose nearly 4% for the month as uncertainties around the U.S. presidential election sparked safe-haven demand.

"You're going to see a bit more consolidation," High Ridge Futures director of metals David Meger says. "We have a lot of major impactful news next week... the U.S. election on Tuesday, Fed meeting on Wednesday, [so] it's really not surprising to see some traders take profits."

The latest U.S. data showed inflation continued to close in on the Federal Reserve's 2% annual target in September, even as the monthly pace of price growth ticked higher; investors now await jobs data due on Friday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting next week.

Front-month Comex gold (XAUUSD:CUR) for November delivery closed -1.8% to $2,738.30/oz, the largest one day dollar and percentage decline since July 25 but still the sixth highest settlement this year, and front-month November silver (XAGUSD:CUR) ended -3.7% to $32.653/oz.

For October, gold gained 3.9% for an eighth consecutive monthly gain, the yellow metal's longest monthly winning streak on record, rising by a third during the period, while silver rose 4.8% for the month.

ETFs: (NYSEARCA:GLD), (NYSEARCA:GDX), (GDXJ), (IAU), (NUGT), (PHYS), (GLDM), (AAAU), (SGOL), (RING), (BAR), (OUNZ), (SLV), (PSLV), (SIVR), (SIL), (SILJ)

Whether Thursday's pullback in gold is a "minor dent in this huge rally" or a "deeper, multi-week consolidation" is a difficult question to answer, with "a lot in the air" that could influence the metal's path, GoldSeek.com president and founder Peter Spina says.

The uncertain outcome of next week's election has brought in safe-haven buyers, but the two major political parties are not "addressing the trillion-plus" dollar figure in the room, which is seeing "interest payments on the national debt swelling as deficits keep accumulating," Spina says.

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