FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) defied analyst predictions to release its quarterly results, which were ahead of market expectations. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of US$208m, some 3.8% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at US$0.24, 27% ahead of expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for FormFactor
After the latest results, the ten analysts covering FormFactor are now predicting revenues of US$838.5m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a decent 13% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to dive 27% to US$1.29 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$840.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.30 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$59.22, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic FormFactor analyst has a price target of US$70.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$47.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting FormFactor's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 10% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 2.5% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. It seems obvious that, while the future growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, FormFactor is expected to grow slower than the wider industry.
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$59.22, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple FormFactor analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with FormFactor (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
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