BlockBeats 消息,11 月 4 日,据彭博社报道,比特币投机者正准备应对美国大选日之后可能出现的市场波动。自 8 月全球市场大跌以来,比特币的 30 天隐含波动率指标已达到最高水平。该指数由 CF Benchmarks Ltd. 编制,源自 CME 比特币期权定价。
加密衍生品交易流动性提供商 Orbit Markets 联合创始人 Caroline Mauron 表示,期权市场预示投票后第二天的预期波动约为 8%,而正常情况下的波动通常为 2%。其补充道:“11 月 7 日之后,市场没有显著波动溢价,这表明市场预计选举结果会很快出炉。考虑到民意调查显示竞争如此激烈,这可能是一个乐观的预测。”
根据加密衍生品交易平台 Derive.xyz 的报告,整个 10 月份比特币的看跌和看涨期权均匀分布,表明投机者在美国大选之前同时为上涨和下跌走势做准备。
另据 Deribit 数据,在选举后的几周内,根据看跌和看涨期权的峰值未平仓合约头寸,比特币交易区间可能在 60,000 美元至 80,000 美元之间。
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.