Schneider National, Inc.'s (NYSE:SNDR) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.095 per share on 8th of January. This means that the annual payment will be 1.3% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Schneider National
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 533% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 178.2%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 13% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 7 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. Since 2017, the annual payment back then was $0.20, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.38. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% a year over that time. Schneider National has a nice track record of dividend growth but we would wait until we see a longer track record before getting too confident.
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Over the past five years, it looks as though Schneider National's EPS has declined at around 12% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Schneider National's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Schneider National that you should be aware of before investing. Is Schneider National not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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