金吾财讯 | 中泰国际表示,美国大选结果对医药行业多数企业影响有限。目前医药行业中除医药研发外包服务(CXO)板块可能受美国生物法案的影响外,其他板块由于多数企业主要收入源在中国,受地缘政治影响不大。中国药企2019年左右开始出海,根据该行的了解,2019年至今在美国获批的中国创新药仅九款,而且通常美国医院选择药物也是优选本土产品,因此该行认为中国药企短期内还难以对美国制药行业构成威胁,目前来看美国政策对除CXO板块以外的港股药企影响有限。短期内该行选股主要考虑2024年业绩确定性、医保谈判与带量采购的影响,重点推荐中国生物制药(01177)与翰森制药(03692)。该行预计两家公司2024年均将汇报良好业绩,而且无主要产品被纳入第十批集采,预计医保谈判对主要产品的影响较小。除此以外,该行也建议关注康方生物(09926)新药依沃西单抗的医保谈判结果,如产品能以合理价格被纳入医保,将对公司构成利好。
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