智通财经APP获悉,水泥股今日普涨,截至发稿,中国建材(03323)涨6.05%,报3.68港元;华润建材科技(01313)涨5.39%,报2.15港元;西部水泥(02233)涨3.42%,报1.21港元;华新水泥(06655)涨2.96%,报8.7港元。
中信证券指出,2024年以来水泥需求大幅下降,行业亏损严重,工信部修订印发了《水泥玻璃行业产能置换实施办法(2024年本)》,有望加速3亿吨以上落后水泥熟料产能的出清,将实际产能从21亿吨压降至设计产能18亿吨以内。供给侧产能的优化有助于行业生态的好转,水泥行业有望改变大幅亏损的局面,恢复到合理的盈利水平。
华泰证券指出,10月建筑建材指数两次不同程度深跌后震荡回升,或系施工实物量表现偏弱及增量政策落地改善预期。展望25年,供给端变化或更突出,水泥/玻璃政策约束及行业自律行为有望增多,化债修复企业资产负债表及现金流;需求端稳增长发力,关注地产止跌拐点落地,以及顺周期板块价格趋势。
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