金吾财讯 | 国证国际发布美国大选后的投资市场动向分析,该行表示,这次选情比较一面倒,在点票初期,特朗普已在多个摇摆州份都获得明显优势。本次大选没有具争议的地方,民主党基本没有翻盘空间,美国股票行情随选情一直上升。特朗普提倡下调企业税的主张下,大部分企业均受惠,整体股票市场做好。然而,行情主要由情绪索引,没有基本支持的概念板块、MEME股等,随时会调整。而传统板块、中小盘行情相信可持续一段时间。特朗普对中国汽车行业的贸易政策,包括对中国汽车及其零部件征收高额关税,打压中国汽车,尤其是电动汽车。打压中国网联汽车软硬件,引发他国效仿智能网联安全审查。加大芯片等高精尖技术封锁和对中国出口管制。从全球汽车供应链来看,特朗普的高关税政策若实施,将对汽车产业的全球化分工带来深刻影响,并可能引发汽车制造企业供应链格局的重大调整。该行指,特朗普上台将会利好特斯拉产业链。明年特斯拉主要看点在于:FSD、robotaxi、机器人都有机会出现实质性突破。汽车方面,Q3业绩和指引振奋人心,但市场也在等待更多信息,比如Q4销量兑现情况、廉价车型信息等。推荐关注美股特斯拉TSLA、港股特斯拉产业链如耐世特(01316)、信邦控股(01571)、力劲科技(00558)、福耀玻璃(03606)等。
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