港股异动 | 海运股早盘普涨 集运欧线主力合约一度涨超10% 机构称市场旺季预期仍较强

智通财经
05 Nov 2024

智通财经APP获悉,海运股早盘普涨,截至发稿,德翔海运(02510)涨6.03%,报4.57港元;海丰国际(01308)涨2.46%,报22.95港元;东方海外国际(00316)涨1.42%,报114.4港元;中远海控(01919)涨0.96%,报12.62港元。

申银万国指出,近期11月中下旬提涨开启,ONE提涨第47周起的运价,大柜报价由此前的4604美金提涨至5004美金,赫伯罗特则将大柜提涨至5500美金,OOCL跟涨,11月15日起大柜报价调涨至5550美金。目前基本12和02都在跟着船司近期的宣涨价格计价盘面估值,市场对于旺季预期仍较强,但宣涨能否实质性落地还是有待验证的。

光大证券指出,三季度以来,欧线、美西的运力投放持续加速,逐步抵消地缘政治事件对运价的影响,集运现货运价快速下行,但仍高于2023年同期水平。后市需求方面,美国进入降息周期,企业投资维持平稳,欧洲消费者信心回升,美国库存周期整体处于主动补库的早期阶段,预计明年欧美补库需求仍有望得到支撑。供给方面,24年全球集装箱船队运力同比增速将达到10.2%,但由于24年新签合同量低于21-22年,25-26年集装箱船运力投放有望放缓,长期运力增长有望达到均衡。

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