【国君国际宏观】特朗普胜选,但“特朗普交易”开始分化

周浩宏观研究
06 Nov 2024

全文2515字,阅读约需8分钟,帮我划重点划重点01特朗普赢得美国总统大选,推动“特朗普交易”升温,但市场对其政策的预期仍存在分歧。02从债券市场来看,2年和30年期美债收益率已反映市场倾向,而10年美债利率需考虑更多中长期因素。03市场对“特朗普交易”的推高作用存疑,同时关注通胀中枢抬升的长期趋势。04美元汇率波动性随10债上升而增加,美股面临杠杆风险不确定性。05由于市场自满情绪可能被动释放,...

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