港股异动 | 内险股集体走高 前三季上市险企净利高增 板块估值中枢有望上行

智通财经
07 Nov 2024

智通财经APP获悉,内险股集体走高,截至发稿,中国平安(02318)涨4.11%,报50.65港元;新华保险(01336)涨3.69%,报28.1港元;中国人寿(02628)涨3.66%,报17港元;中国太平(00966)涨1.93%,报13.72港元。

开源证券指出,2024前三季上市险企净利润同比高增:中国人寿+174%/新华保险+117%/中国人保+77%/中国太保+66%/中国平安+36%,权益市场回暖+新准则权益弹性提升,投资服务业绩高增驱动业绩超预期改善。向后展望,利好政策持续出台支持保险业高质量发展,保险“新国十条”指明发展方向,中长期资金入市指导意见+SFISF工具松绑资产端,支持大力发展商保年金利好产品多元化供给。负债端有望延续高质量增长,负债成本持续调降缓解利差损风险,保险板块估值中枢上行。

国金证券表示,保险公司Q4利润预计延续高速增长。寿险方面,近期国有大行继7月后进一步下调人民币存款挂牌利率,2.5%预定利率传统险仍有相对优势,且政策组合拳下市场信心的增强也有利于分红险的销售,叠加预定利率下调带来价值率的提升,预计2025年开门红新单保费可能承压,但NBV有望实现正增长。中长期看经济预期改善,受益于地产政策积极转向及经济预期有望回暖,寿险顺周期逻辑或将开始显现。财险方面,三季报整体超预期且高股息特征突出,建议关注财险H股相关标的。

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