智通财经APP获悉,基建股早盘回落,截至发稿,中国铁建(01186)跌3.5%,报5.52港元;中国中车(01766)跌3.29%,报5港元;中国交建(01800)跌3.24%,报5.37港元;中国中铁(00390)跌2.92%,报3.99港元。
国投证券指出,前三季度建筑装饰行业实现营收6.20万亿元,同比下滑4.88%;毛利6190.03亿元,同比4.40%;归母净利润1378.15亿元,同比下滑11.70%。分季度来看,第一季度、第二季度、第三季度各季度建筑装饰行业营收增速分别为1.23%、-7.27%、-8.11%,各季度归母净利润增速分别为-2.30%、-17.21%、-15.30%。建筑央企营收/业绩均同比下滑,但下滑幅度小于整体行业。
国盛证券指出,全国人大常委会审议批准10万亿化债规模,地方化债压力减轻后有望加大力度支持基建等领域,加快在建项目推进,促建筑企业收入和利润改善,部分资金用于偿还企业欠款,有望修复建筑企业资产负债表,促PB加快修复。后续财政政策、地产增量政策、货币政策可继续期待,行业景气有望显著向上。此外为应对特朗普上台后的中美博弈加剧,我国对外有望加力推进“一带一路”,对内稳投资、稳地产、促消费等扩内需政策有望加快出台,有望持续催化板块估值。
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