Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For LCI Industries (NYSE:LCII) After Its Third-Quarter Results

Simply Wall St.
10 Nov 2024

It's been a good week for LCI Industries (NYSE:LCII) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 3.1% to US$116. LCI Industries reported US$915m in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.39 beat expectations, being 3.3% higher than what the analysts expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for LCI Industries

NYSE:LCII Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2024

Following the latest results, LCI Industries' ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$3.91b in 2025. This would be an okay 3.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 34% to US$6.88. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$4.00b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$7.23 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a minor downgrade to earnings per share estimates.

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the US$116 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic LCI Industries analyst has a price target of US$130 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$91.00. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that LCI Industries' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 2.9% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 10% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 9.4% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than LCI Industries.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on LCI Industries. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for LCI Industries going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for LCI Industries you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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