A week ago, Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (NYSE:JLL) came out with a strong set of quarterly numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 4.4% to hit US$5.9b. Jones Lang LaSalle also reported a statutory profit of US$3.20, which was an impressive 35% above what the analysts had forecast. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Jones Lang LaSalle
After the latest results, the six analysts covering Jones Lang LaSalle are now predicting revenues of US$24.7b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 9.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 44% to US$14.54. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$24.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$14.48 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$270, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Jones Lang LaSalle analyst has a price target of US$310 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$216. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Jones Lang LaSalle's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 7.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 17% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 11% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Jones Lang LaSalle is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Jones Lang LaSalle analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jones Lang LaSalle you should be aware of.
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